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In this memo a manager at Fancy Toy Company recommends replacing Pat Salvo, the
company's current president, with Rosa Winnings, who is currently president of Starlight
Jewelry. To support this recommendation the manager points out that Fancy's profits have
declined during the last three quarters under Pat's leadership, while Starlight's profits have
been increasing dramatically. The manager's argument is unconvincing for several reasons.
First, the manager's recommendation relies partly on the assumption that Pat was the cause
of Fancy Toy's declining profits. However, this need not be the case. Perhaps the toy business
is seasonal, and the coming quarter is always the most profitable one. Or perhaps the cost of
materials or labor have increased, and Pat has had no control over these increases. Without
taking into account such possibilities, the manager simply cannot reasonably conclude that Pat
is responsible for Fancy's declining profits, and that replacing Pat will therefore enhance
Fancy's profits.
Similarly, the manager's recommendation assumes that it is Rosa who has been primarily
responsible for Starlight's profitability. However, the manager provides no evidence to affirm
this assumption. It is entirely possible that all jewelry businesses have prospered recently,
regardless of the abilities of the managers. Or perhaps the costs of precious metals and other
materials have declined in recent years, thereby leading to increased profits for Starlight.
Moreover, perhaps Rosa has only served as president of Starlight for a short while, and it was
her predecessor who is to credit for Starlight's profitability. Without taking into account these
possibilities, the manager cannot defend the conclusion that it is Rosa who is responsible for
Starlight's increasing profitability. 感谢您阅读《GRE作文范文大全（139） 》一文，出国留学网(liuxue86.com)编辑部希望本文能帮助到您。